Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.001109 0.001255 0.001402 0.001561 0.001728 0.001897 0.002081
2025-04-27 0.000826 0.001047 0.001280 0.001543 0.001827 0.002124 0.002455
2025-05-04 0.000660 0.000941 0.001251 0.001613 0.002015 0.002444 0.002932
2025-05-11 0.000485 0.000801 0.001168 0.001612 0.002119 0.002670 0.003307
2025-05-18 0.000307 0.000626 0.001025 0.001528 0.002119 0.002775 0.003544
2025-05-25 0.000192 0.000508 0.000935 0.001493 0.002166 0.002926 0.003829
2025-06-01 0.000105 0.000403 0.000845 0.001448 0.002195 0.003051 0.004079
2025-06-08 0.000053 0.000331 0.000788 0.001438 0.002259 0.003213 0.004368
2025-06-15 0.000029 0.000300 0.000784 0.001492 0.002399 0.003460 0.004753
2025-06-22 0.000006 0.000245 0.000736 0.001483 0.002457 0.003609 0.005023
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000204 0.000705 0.001491 0.002534 0.003779 0.005314
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000188 0.000711 0.001550 0.002673 0.004021 0.005688
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000135 0.000649 0.001522 0.002714 0.004161 0.005964
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000089 0.000587 0.001489 0.002751 0.004300 0.006244
2025-07-27 NaN 0.000073 0.000587 0.001549 0.002910 0.004591 0.006707
2025-08-03 NaN 0.000045 0.000545 0.001542 0.002981 0.004774 0.007043
2025-08-10 NaN 0.000013 0.000458 0.001457 0.002942 0.004818 0.007212
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000001 0.000406 0.001420 0.002966 0.004940 0.007473
2025-08-24 NaN NaN 0.000353 0.001376 0.002975 0.005040 0.007706
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.000321 0.001365 0.003030 0.005197 0.008006
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.000323 0.001417 0.003174 0.005466 0.008443
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.000295 0.001408 0.003228 0.005620 0.008737
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.000277 0.001416 0.003307 0.005804 0.009068